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Rafael Nadal vs Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Nadal vs Aliassime analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Rafael Nadal vs Felix Auger Aliassime Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Nadal 2 - 1 Aliassime

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Nadal has won 53.08% of points on their second serve, while Aliassime has won 51.57%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Nadal, in recent form, has won 53.23% of their opponent's second serve points, while Aliassime has won 48.81%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.06% and 32.26% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Nadal has saved 58.21% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Aliassime has saved 59.49% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Nadal has won 58.33% of matches played (W/L 7/ 5), with Aliassime winning 57.69% (W/L 30/ 22) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 506/ 57), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38). Aliassime has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 81/ 38), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 57% (W/L 105/ 78).
  • Player level: In the last year, Nadal has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 4/ 2), where as Aliassime has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 59.09% of matches (W/L 13/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Nadal winning 2 times and Aliassime being victorious 1 times. They have played 9 sets in total, with Nadal winning 5 and Aliassime winning 4. The last match between Nadal and Aliassime was at the Nitto ATP Finals - Turin, 15-11-2022, Robin, I.hard with Felix Auger Aliassime getting the victory 6-3 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:38:41.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Nadal and Aliassime have played a deciding set 1 times, with Nadal winning 1 times and Aliassime 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Nadal winning 0, and Aliassime 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Nadal has played against opponents with an average rank of 95.92 while Aliassime has played against players with an average rank of 135.5.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Nadal has won 67% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Aliassime has won 54% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Nadal has converted 40.66% of breakpoint opportunities, and Aliassime has converted 42.03% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Rafael Nadal

94

Total

36

Mast

2

Chall

22

Slam

33

Main

0

Minor

264

Rank

1

High

38

Age

L

Plays

2

Total

1

0

Hard

0

2

Clay

0

0

Indoor

1

0

Grass

0

18

Rank

6

High

23

Age

R

Plays

Felix Auger Aliassime

11

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

5

Main

2

Minor

2

Total

1

0

Hard

0

2

Clay

0

0

Indoor

1

0

Grass

0

L W L W W W L W L L

Form

W W W L W L W W W L

82% (1119-241)

Career Total W/L

63% (327-191)

58% (7-5)

YTD W/L

61% (20-13)

$96,533,810

Career Prize Money

$8,109,290

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Nadal VS Aliassime H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Rafael Nadal Felix Auger Aliassime
All H2H Matches 2 1
Sets Won 5 4
Games Won 43 38
Aces (Total) 6 25
DFs (Total) 11 9
Avg Match Time 2:38:41 2:38:41
1st Serve % 66% (158/240) 67% (191/283)
1st Serve Win% 72% (113/158) 69% (131/191)
2nd Serve Win% 59% (48/82) 42% (39/92)
BPs Won% (Total) 27% (10/37) 50% (7/14)
Return Points W% 40% (113/283) 33% (79/240)
Best of 3 Sets W% 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 50% (2/1)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 50% (2/1)
1st set L, W 50% (2/1) 0% (1/0)

Nadal VS Aliassime H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 6-4
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Rafael Nadal
71% ( 48 of 68)
1st Serve %
59% ( 36 of 61)
15
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
81% ( 39 of 48)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 26 of 36)
40% ( 8 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 12 of 25)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
31% ( 21 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 23 of 61)
70
Total Points Won
59
3-6 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
67% ( 90 of 134)
1st Serve %
69% ( 106 of 153)
3
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
4
67% ( 60 of 90)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 68 of 106)
66% ( 29 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 22 of 47)
27% ( 6 of 22)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
34% ( 45 of 134)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 63 of 153)
152
Total Points Won
135
6-3 6-3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve %
60% ( 37 of 62)
2
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
84% ( 27 of 32)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 24 of 37)
54% ( 7 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
24% ( 11 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 29 of 62)
63
Total Points Won
44

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Rafael Nadal Felix Auger Aliassime
YTD W/L 58% (7/5) 61% (20/13)
Sets Win/Loss 54% (15/13) 58% (48/35)
Games Win/Loss 54% (143/123) 53% (436/382)
Hard Win/Loss 67% (2/1) 44% (4/5)
Clay Win/Loss 56% (5/4) 71% (12/5)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 57% (4/3)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.19 0.59
Aces Total 24 235
DFs per game 0.17 0.31
DFs Total 22 125
Avg Match Time 2:6:53 1:59:10
Avg Opp Rank 95.92 133.64
1st Serve % 69% (568/828) 63% (1492/2384)
1st Serve W% 68% (387/568) 75% (1112/1492)
2nd Serve W% 53% (138/260) 52% (460/892)
BPs Won% Total 41% (37/91) 42% (87/207)
Return Pts W% 39% (329/838) 38% (941/2466)
Slam W/L 0% (0/1) 71% (5/2)
Masters W/L 67% (4/2) 64% (9/5)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 60% (3/2) 50% (6/6)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 64% (7/11) 56% (14/25)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 71% (5/7)
TBs Win% (Total) 25% (1/4) 64% (7/11)
Deciding Set W% 67% (2/3) 44% (4/9)
1st set W, W 86% (7/6) 77% (22/17)
1st set W, L 14% (7/1) 23% (22/5)
1st set L, W 20% (5/1) 20% (10/2)

Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Rafael Nadal
77% ( 72 of 93)
1st Serve %
70% ( 78 of 111)
8
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
3
72% ( 52 of 72)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 45 of 78)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 16 of 33)
33% ( 6 of 18)
Break Points Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
33% ( 31 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 50 of 111)
112
Total Points Won
92
L
6-3 7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Hubert Hurkacz
Player
Rafael Nadal
54% ( 30 of 56)
1st Serve %
72% ( 38 of 53)
9
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
83% ( 25 of 30)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 20 of 38)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 8 of 15)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
27% ( 15 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 25 of 53)
66
Total Points Won
43
L
6-1 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Zizou Bergs
62% ( 58 of 93)
1st Serve %
56% ( 44 of 78)
3
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
4
67% ( 39 of 58)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 30 of 44)
63% ( 22 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 21 of 34)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
34% ( 32 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 27 of 78)
88
Total Points Won
83
W
4-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Rafael Nadal
71% ( 46 of 65)
1st Serve %
61% ( 44 of 72)
7
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
89% ( 41 of 46)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 30 of 44)
37% ( 7 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 17 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 28 of 72)
76
Total Points Won
61
L
7-5 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Pedro Cachin
78% ( 59 of 76)
1st Serve %
61% ( 74 of 122)
0
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
64% ( 38 of 59)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 39 of 74)
35% ( 6 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 18 of 48)
50% ( 9 of 18)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
42% ( 32 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 65 of 122)
109
Total Points Won
89
W
6-1 6-7(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
73% ( 45 of 62)
1st Serve %
66% ( 44 of 67)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 29 of 44)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 21 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 26 of 67)
67
Total Points Won
62
W
7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Darwin Blanch
62% ( 24 of 39)
1st Serve %
69% ( 27 of 39)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
79% ( 19 of 24)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 14 of 27)
73% ( 11 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
17% ( 2 of 12)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 9 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 23 of 39)
53
Total Points Won
25
W
6-1 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 50 of 73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 36 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
53
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve %
49% ( 27 of 55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 15 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 26 of 55)
60
Total Points Won
44
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61% ( 67 of 109)
1st Serve %
73% ( 79 of 108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76% ( 51 of 67)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 58 of 79)
48% ( 20 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 13 of 29)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
35% ( 38 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 37 of 108)
108
Total Points Won
109
L
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 H2H

Felix Auger Aliassime Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
67% ( 53 of 79)
1st Serve %
57% ( 48 of 84)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
5
75% ( 40 of 53)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 29 of 48)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 14 of 36)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
32% ( 25 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 41 of 84)
95
Total Points Won
68
L
6-3 6-3 6-1 H2H
R3
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Ben Shelton
59% ( 37 of 63)
1st Serve %
67% ( 61 of 91)
2
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
6
86% ( 32 of 37)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 37 of 61)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 11 of 30)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
22% ( 14 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 43 of 91)
92
Total Points Won
62
W
6-4 6-2 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Henri Squire
57% ( 62 of 108)
1st Serve %
59% ( 65 of 111)
12
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
5
79% ( 49 of 62)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 47 of 65)
52% ( 24 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 15 of 46)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
32% ( 35 of 108)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 49 of 111)
122
Total Points Won
97
W
6-4 4-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Yoshihito Nishioka
60% ( 45 of 75)
1st Serve %
62% ( 68 of 110)
7
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
4
84% ( 38 of 45)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 43 of 68)
67% ( 20 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 18 of 42)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 17 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 49 of 110)
107
Total Points Won
78
W
6-2 6-4 6-4 H2H
R3
L
6-7(2) 6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Botic Van De Zandschulp
61% ( 54 of 88)
1st Serve %
47% ( 28 of 59)
3
Aces
3
6
Double Faults
5
72% ( 39 of 54)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 17 of 28)
41% ( 14 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 16 of 31)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
40% ( 35 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 26 of 59)
79
Total Points Won
68
W
6-1 7-6(6) H2H
F
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
67% ( 61 of 91)
1st Serve %
68% ( 84 of 123)
7
Aces
14
5
Double Faults
5
77% ( 47 of 61)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 60 of 84)
60% ( 18 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 14 of 39)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
29% ( 26 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 49 of 123)
114
Total Points Won
100
L
4-6 7-5 7-5 H2H
SF
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Jiri Lehecka
60% ( 9 of 15)
1st Serve %
79% ( 15 of 19)
5
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
0
100% ( 9 of 9)
1st Serve Won
87% ( 13 of 15)
50% ( 3 of 6)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
0% ( 0 of 1)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 3 of 15)
Rtn Points Won
21% ( 4 of 19)
16
Total Points Won
18
W
3-3 ret. H2H
QF
W
w/o H2H
R4
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Casper Ruud
59% ( 41 of 69)
1st Serve %
82% ( 59 of 72)
3
Aces
6
4
Double Faults
0
78% ( 32 of 41)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 35 of 59)
50% ( 14 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
69% ( 9 of 13)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
33% ( 23 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 28 of 72)
74
Total Points Won
67
W
6-4 7-5 H2H

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